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Some more business rules predictions for 2007

I got a couple of late entries for business rules predictions I thought I would share:

First Krzysztof Karski of Artemis Alliance (who sometimes blogs here)

  • Business Analysts, and companies as a whole, are realizing that they need to keep track of rules and so any software that enables their business users to do so will be big in 2007.
    • Managing business rules is becoming important (this would include both operational rules and other) not just executing them.
    • I think a trend that was clearly seen at this year's BR Forum is the increased focus on the business part of business rules.
    • Many rule engine vendors are moving towards even more business friendly versions of rule engines and quite a few vendors of pure rule management software have sprung up.
  • I also think this year is the first that open source business rules will really hit the spotlight and traditional BRE vendors will start seeing serious competition from project such as JBoss Rules. Tech savvy IT departments are seeing a lot of value in open source and so moving that philosophy to rule engines will be a natural especially since the quality of their Rules IDE is moving very close to many vendor offerings.
  • Overall, I think 2006 was a rules momentum building year, 2007 will be the year business rules really go mainstream.

Secondly Dan Selman of ILOG who administers the JavaRules.Org site:

  • Overall I believe this year will be one of incremental improvement and refinement, not revolution
  • The use of Business Rules Management Systems will continue to slowly but surely to grown within successful SOA and BPM deployments.
  • The focus on governance for SOA and BPM will drives new customers into the BRMS market segment.
    Customers that are keen to realize many of the benefits of transparency afforded by business rules.
  • There will be some painful BRMS project failures as companies new to the technology apply it poorly with little consideration for performance or long term rule maintenance and governance.
  • Major Systems Integrators will establish centers of excellence and best practices for BRMS technology.
  • Increasing numbers of application architects will understand the role of a BRMS within the overall application stack.
    A small but vocal group of architects will help evangelize the technology to their peers.
  • BRMS vendors will continue to refine their product offerings, making them easier to use, accessible, and scalable for general purpose usage.
  • The first tentative fruits of standardization efforts start to emerge.
    Naturally they will be less than hoped for by the wider community.
  • Within the largest and most mature BRMS deployments deep personalization, repository federation and delegated administration start to become relevant
  • Some consolidation amongst BRMS vendors occurs
  • The relationship between BRMS rule management user interface and end-user application user interface continues to be a challenge for vendors.
    BRMS users push for flexible integration options that span a broad range of technologies, including Swing, SWT, JSP, AJAX , ASP, WSRP, portlets.

Interesting points and both Dan and Krzysztof see the same trends I do - SOA/BPMS are driving demand for rules as is a general desire on the part of the business to take control of their rules.

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